David and Goliath
Recently Engadget reported that Steve Ballmer were taking shots at Google’s Android platform during his UK media tour. He said that it looked very “version 1″ and that it only has 1 handset maker and 1 provider, while Microsoft’s Windows Mobile OS is supported on 55 manufacturer’s devices over 175 networks. He also aparently called Microsoft a David compared to Google’s goliath. That’s actually quite a big complement to the Android product, even if it wasn’t meant so. Ballmer said that because the software is version 1, and looks and feels that way, other handset manufacturers won’t be interested in it.
Android Adoption
Motorola, currently ranking 3rd in terms of global market share in handset makers, have announced that they are seeking to hire 300 developers to work inside Motorola developing on Android. That’s quite a big announcement, and a big bet for Motorola considering that their market share has been slipping in recent years. Motorola’s current high-end phones are already running a Linux kernel, so hopefully there will be a new range of consumer phones from them soon that are much more open than their older ones.
Android is not Microsoft’s only threat
Nokia, who is currently the world’s biggest handset manufacturer, has acquired the Symbian operating system (which currently runs on most of the high-end Nokia handsets) and have announced that they will be releasing the code under a free license. Not only will Nokia be selling Symbian as an open source operating system on their phones, but they are also develop a platform called Maemo which is a Linux system they sell with their tablet phones.
Samsung, currently second in terms of global market share, and LG who is currently 4th have also made big bets on Linux using the Access Linux Platform on 18 different phones.
Maybe Steve has a point?
When I first read the about Ballmer making the David and Goliath anology, I thought that it was just a little melodramatic, but with the 4 biggest handset manufacturers showing such a large interest in Linux and Free Software, I would be worried too if I were him. Google has a big opportunity here to make Android more attractive to more handset manufacturers, I hope they don’t mess it up.
And the iPhone?
The iPhone is a good piece of hardware, and even though the software is proprietary, it’s quite good too. A big limiting factor for the iPhone is that its software only runs on Apple hardware, while many of the next-generation systems can run on pretty much anything. This compares to the situation in the 80’s where you could only buy Apple software with Apple computers, and Microsoft operating systems with just about any other x86 PC hardware you could find.
Exciting times ahead
I lost track of my original thoughts in this post, but the next few years in the handset arena will be interesting and will continue to define how we use technology in our day-to-day lives. There will probably be many shake-ups in the years to come, and the industry will probably not be recognisable when we compare it today. I’m glad that the platforms that are used in the phones will become more standardised and use more and more open platforms. It’s a shame that in 2008, users still can’t just send contact details by sms withought having to wonder if the person on the other side will be able to open it. I think that in 5 years from now, we’ll be able to sync our devices and make them talk to each other in ways that simply wouldn’t have been possible with the old proprietary systems that we used to use.
October 5th, 2008 at 12:17 am
It’s too bad OpenMoko messed up, as that had quite some potential
I do hope that your prediction will come true, however, I’m not so sure about it - open source software does not mean adhering to open standards. And I also have serious doubts just how open Google’s strategy is - i.e. will the common man be able to contribute?
However, the recent developments really are positive - I’d rather have Android, developed collaboratively by multiple companies than a monopolistic OS like Microsoft’s or Apple’s.
October 5th, 2008 at 12:50 am
[...] Go here to see the original: Android Progress Upsetting to the Old Gaurd [...]
October 5th, 2008 at 12:57 am
Just this week, Nokia also announced Qt Extended. It seems open source platforms are poised to make a lot of progress in the mobile space.
http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20080930-nokia-launches-linux-based-qt-extended-mobile-platform.html
October 5th, 2008 at 5:28 am
And yet, Windows Mobile is the most used Mobile OS on market/world/whatever.
But of course they’re a threat to MS, because they are competitors…
October 5th, 2008 at 5:47 am
Steve Ballmer is an idiot - why Microsoft’s shareholders tollerate him as CEO is beyond me… He also laughed at the iPhone, and said that nobody would buy it - and here we are today, with millions of them sold…
October 5th, 2008 at 11:13 am
A couple of nitpicks:
- the maemo tablets are *not* phones in the traditional sense at least. They do have VoIP capabilities (SIP, Jingle and Skype so far), and the next model will contain an HSPA modem for data, but it’s still not a phone.
- Windows Mobile is *not* the most used Mobile OS. Symbian OS is, everywhere outside North America, and even there MS is being beaten by RIM and possibly Apple.
October 5th, 2008 at 8:32 pm
FYI, the hyperlink “David” is broken (it points to “httphttp://…”)
October 6th, 2008 at 7:25 am
With Android. I hope there will be a sync/ultility application native for Linux, and that it will be in the Ubuntu repositories.
October 6th, 2008 at 2:27 pm
You might note that maemo == gnome.